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MWI Malawi Super League · Мач ·

Red Lions vs Камузу Баракс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина52%
Равен27%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red LionsКамузу Баракс
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
52% / 27% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Камузу Баракс win (20.7%)Двоен шанс1X79.3%1.26
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Red Lions win52%1.92
Равен27%3.70
Камузу Баракс win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Lions1.83

Домакин share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Камузу Баракс0.81

Гост share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Red Lions

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Камузу Баракс

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.83
Expected goals
0.81
Red LionsКамузу Баракс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Lions signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Камузу Баракс signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Red Lions vs Камузу Баракс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Lions печеливш 52%,Равен 27%,Камузу Баракс печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под