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INT Новая Зеландия - Южная лига · Матч ·

Нелсон Сабарбс vs Крайстчерч Юнайтед

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей25%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нелсон СабарбсКрайстчерч Юнайтед
Expected goals3.41Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 21% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Двойной шанс1279.1%1.26
Больше 66% · Меньше 34%Goals 2.5Больше66%1.52
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.41 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нелсон Сабарбс win55%1.821.6255.4%
Ничья21%4.764.3320.7%
Крайстчерч Юнайтед win25%4.003.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нелсон Сабарбс2.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.41Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 66% · Меньше 34%

Крайстчерч Юнайтед1.38

Гости share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нелсон Сабарбс

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Крайстчерч Юнайтед

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.38
Нелсон СабарбсКрайстчерч Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нелсон Сабарбс signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Крайстчерч Юнайтед signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Нелсон Сабарбс vs Крайстчерч Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нелсон Сабарбс выигрыш 55%,Ничья 21%,Крайстчерч Юнайтед выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · ТБ 2.5 66% · Current selection Больше