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INT Νέα Ζηλανδία - Southern League · Αγώνας ·

Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς vs Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου55%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου25%
Market-based forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Νέλσον ΣάμπαρμπςΚράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ
Expected goals3.41Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
55% / 21% / 25%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1279.1%1.26
Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%Goals 2.5Άνω66%1.52
Ναι 65% · Όχι 35%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι65%1.54
3.41 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς win55%1.821.6255.4%
Ισοπαλία21%4.764.3320.7%
Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ win25%4.003.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς2.03

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.41Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%

Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ1.38

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 65% · Όχι 35%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.38
Νέλσον ΣάμπαρμπςΚράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς vs Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νέλσον Σάμπαρμπς νίκη 55%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Κράιστσερτς Γιουνάιτεντ νίκη 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Άνω 2.5 66% · Current selection Άνω