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INT New Zealand Southern League · Wedstrijd ·

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst25%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Expected goals3.41Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 21% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Dubbele Kans1279.1%1.26
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.41 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nelson Suburbs win55%1.821.6255.4%
Gelijkspel21%4.764.3320.7%
Christchurch United win25%4.003.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nelson Suburbs2.03

Thuis share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.41Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Christchurch United1.38

Uit share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Nelson Suburbs

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Christchurch United

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.38
Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nelson Suburbs signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Christchurch United signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nelson Suburbs gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 21%,Christchurch United gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven