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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Матч ·

Серро-Ларго vs Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–01.33 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей36% selection probability
Projected score1–0Серро-ЛаргоЮвентуд Де Лас Пьедрас
Expected goals1.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше85% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 30% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда гостей36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двойной шанс1270.3%1.42
Больше 15% · Меньше 85%Goals 2.5Меньше85%1.18
Да 21% · Нет 79%Обе забьютНет79%1.27
1.33 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–0
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapЮвентуд Де Лас Пьедрас winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Серро-Ларго win34%2.942.8032.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.2028.8%+1.2 pp
Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас win36%2.782.4038.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Серро-Ларго0.88

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals1.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 15% · Меньше 85%

Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас0.45

Гости share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 21% · Нет 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Серро-Ларго

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.88
Expected goals
0.45
Серро-ЛаргоЮвентуд Де Лас Пьедрас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Серро-Ларго signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Серро-Ларго vs Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–0 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Серро-Ларго выигрыш 34%,Ничья 30%,Ювентуд Де Лас Пьедрас выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.33 · ТБ 2.5 15% · Current selection Меньше