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URY Uruguay - Torneo Clausura · Final ·

Cerro Largo vs Juventud de Las Piedras

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–0
Visitante form
Victoria local34%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–0Cerro LargoJuventud de Las Piedras
Expected goals1.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de85% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
34% / 30% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1270.3%1.42
Más de 15% · Menos de 85%Goals 2.5Menos de85%1.18
Sí 21% · No 79%Ambos equipos marcanNo79%1.27
1.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–0
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapJuventud de Las Piedras winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win34%2.942.8032.9%+1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.2028.8%+1.2 pp
Juventud de Las Piedras win36%2.782.4038.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.88

Local share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals1.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 15% · Menos de 85%

Juventud de Las Piedras0.45

Visitante share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Juventud de Las Piedras

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.88
Expected goals
0.45
Cerro LargoJuventud de Las Piedras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud de Las Piedras signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Juventud de Las Piedras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–0 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo ganada 34%,Empate 30%,Juventud de Las Piedras ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.33 · Más de 2.5 15% · Current selection Menos de