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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Spiel ·

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–01.33 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg35% selection probability
Projected score1–0Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Expected goals1.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter85% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 30% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Doppelte Chance1269.6%1.44
Über 15% · Unter 85%Goals 2.5Unter85%1.18
Ja 21% · Nein 79%Beide Teams treffenNein79%1.27
1.33 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win35%2.862.7033.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.1029.5%+0.5 pp
Juventud De Las Piedras win35%2.862.5036.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.88

Heim share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals1.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 15% · Unter 85%

Juventud De Las Piedras0.45

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 21% · Nein 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.88
Expected goals
0.45
Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud De Las Piedras signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 30%,Juventud De Las Piedras Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.33 · Über 2.5 15% · Current selection Unter