Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 31% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montevideo Wanderers win (15.5%)Doppelte Chance1X84.5%1.18
Über 28% · Unter 72%Goals 2.5Unter72%1.39
Ja 25% · Nein 75%Beide Teams treffenNein75%1.33
1.82 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0——
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Defensor Sporting win54%1.85
Unentschieden31%3.23
Montevideo Wanderers win15%6.67
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 78%
Total expected goals1.82Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Über 28% · Unter 72%
Auswärts share of expected goals 22%
Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 25% · Nein 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchDefensor Sporting
LDLLW
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMontevideo Wanderers
LDDLD
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3
SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%4
Points from supplied form
31.42
Expected goals
0.40Defensor SportingMontevideo Wanderers
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Defensor Sporting Gewinn 54%，Unentschieden 31%，Montevideo Wanderers Gewinn 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.82 · Über 2.5 28% · Current selection Unter。