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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Мач ·

Дефенсор Спортинг vs Монтевидео Уондърърс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–01.82 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина54%
Равен31%
Победа за госта15%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина54% selection probability
Projected score1–0Дефенсор СпортингМонтевидео Уондърърс
Expected goals1.82Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под72% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
54% / 31% / 15%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Монтевидео Уондърърс win (15.5%)Двоен шанс1X84.5%1.18
Над 28% · Под 72%Goals 2.5Под72%1.39
Да 25% · Не 75%И двата отбора да отбележатНе75%1.33
1.82 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–0
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Дефенсор Спортинг win54%1.85
Равен31%3.23
Монтевидео Уондърърс win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дефенсор Спортинг1.42

Домакин share of expected goals 78%

Total expected goals1.82Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 28% · Под 72%

Монтевидео Уондърърс0.40

Гост share of expected goals 22%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 25% · Не 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дефенсор Спортинг

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Монтевидео Уондърърс

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.40
Дефенсор СпортингМонтевидео Уондърърс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дефенсор Спортинг signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Монтевидео Уондърърс signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Дефенсор Спортинг vs Монтевидео Уондърърс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–0 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дефенсор Спортинг печеливш 54%,Равен 31%,Монтевидео Уондърърс печеливш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.82 · Над 2.5 28% · Current selection Под