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URY Уругвай - Резервная лига · Final ·

Серро-Ларго - Резерв vs Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–1Прогноз 2–2
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Серро-Ларго - РезервСентрал Эспаньол - Резерв
Expected goals3.27Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 25% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двойной шанс1275.1%1.33
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapСерро-Ларго - Резерв winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Серро-Ларго - Резерв win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Серро-Ларго - Резерв1.67

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.27Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв1.60

Гости share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Серро-Ларго - Резерв

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.60
Серро-Ларго - РезервСентрал Эспаньол - Резерв
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Серро-Ларго - Резерв signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Серро-Ларго - Резерв vs Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Серро-Ларго - Резерв выигрыш 43%,Ничья 25%,Сентрал Эспаньол - Резерв выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше