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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Final ·

Cerro Largo reserver vs Central Espanol reserver

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 2–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr32%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Cerro Largo reserverCentral Espanol reserver
Expected goals3.27Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 25% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dobbeltchance1275.1%1.33
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Begge hold scorerJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCerro Largo reserver winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo reserver win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Central Espanol reserver win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo reserver1.67

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.27Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Central Espanol reserver1.60

Ude share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo reserver

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Central Espanol reserver

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.60
Cerro Largo reserverCentral Espanol reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo reserver signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Central Espanol reserver signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo reserver vs Central Espanol reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo reserver vundet 43%,Uafgjort 25%,Central Espanol reserver vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over