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URY Uruguay - Lega Riserve · Final ·

Cerro Largo riserve vs Central Espanol riserve

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 2–2
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Cerro Largo riserveCentral Espanol riserve
Expected goals3.27Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 25% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doppia Chance1275.1%1.33
Sopra 63% · Sotto 37%Goals 2.5Sopra63%1.59
Sì 65% · No 35%Entrambe le squadre segnano65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCerro Largo riserve winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo riserve win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Central Espanol riserve win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo riserve1.67

Casa share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.27Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 63% · Sotto 37%

Central Espanol riserve1.60

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo riserve

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Central Espanol riserve

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.60
Cerro Largo riserveCentral Espanol riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Central Espanol riserve signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo riserve vs Central Espanol riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo riserve vinta 43%,Pareggio 25%,Central Espanol riserve vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Sopra 2.5 63% · Current selection Sopra