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URY Uruguay - Reserve League · Final ·

Cerro Largo - Reserves vs Central Español - Reserves

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Cerro Largo - ReservesCentral Español - Reserves
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 25% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCerro Largo - Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo - Reserves win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Central Español - Reserves win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo - Reserves1.67

Thuis share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Central Español - Reserves1.60

Uit share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo - Reserves

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Central Español - Reserves

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.60
Cerro Largo - ReservesCentral Español - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo - Reserves signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Central Español - Reserves signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo - Reserves vs Central Español - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo - Reserves gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 25%,Central Español - Reserves gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven