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URY Уругвай - Резервная лига · Final ·

Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв vs Колон ФК - Резерв

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score3–2Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - РезервКолон ФК - Резерв
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 27% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Двойной шанс1273.5%1.36
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapКолон ФК - Резерв winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Колон ФК - Резерв win30%3.333.1028.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв1.21

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Колон ФК - Резерв1.28

Гости share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Колон ФК - Резерв

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.21
Expected goals
1.28
Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - РезервКолон ФК - Резерв
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Колон ФК - Резерв signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв vs Колон ФК - Резерв FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Клуб Атлетико Прогресо - Резерв выигрыш 44%,Ничья 27%,Колон ФК - Резерв выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше