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NIR Северная Ирландия - Премьер-лига · Round 1 ·

Каррик Рейнджерс vs Портадаун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Каррик РейнджерсПортадаун
Expected goals3.24Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 25% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Портадаун win (24.8%)Двойной шанс1X75.2%1.33
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 61% · Нет 39%Обе забьютДа61%1.64
3.24 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Каррик Рейнджерс win50%2.00
Ничья25%4.00
Портадаун win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каррик Рейнджерс2.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.24Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Портадаун1.17

Гости share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Нет 39%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Каррик Рейнджерс

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Портадаун

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.07
Expected goals
1.17
Каррик РейнджерсПортадаун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каррик Рейнджерс signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Портадаун signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Каррик Рейнджерс vs Портадаун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каррик Рейнджерс выигрыш 50%,Ничья 25%,Портадаун выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше