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NIR Βόρειος Ιρλανδία - Πρέμιερ · Round 1 ·

Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς vs Πορταντάουν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου50%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου25%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Κάρικ ΡέιντζερςΠορταντάουν
Expected goals3.24Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
50% / 25% / 25%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Πορταντάουν win (24.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X75.2%1.33
Άνω 63% · Κάτω 37%Goals 2.5Άνω63%1.59
Ναι 61% · Όχι 39%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61%1.64
3.24 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς win50%2.00
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Πορταντάουν win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς2.07

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.24Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 63% · Κάτω 37%

Πορταντάουν1.17

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 61% · Όχι 39%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πορταντάουν

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.07
Expected goals
1.17
Κάρικ ΡέιντζερςΠορταντάουν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πορταντάουν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς vs Πορταντάουν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάρικ Ρέιντζερς νίκη 50%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Πορταντάουν νίκη 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Άνω 2.5 63% · Current selection Άνω