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WAL Чемпионат Уэльса - Юг · Матч ·

Каерау Ели vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев68%
Ничья17%
Победа гостей14%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Каерау ЕлиYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
68% / 17% / 14%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Двойной шанс1X85.6%1.17
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каерау Ели win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каерау Ели2.46

Хозяева share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Гости share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Каерау Ели

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Каерау ЕлиYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каерау Ели signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Каерау Ели vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каерау Ели выигрыш 68%,Ничья 17%,Ynyshir Albions выигрыш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше