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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Юг · Мач ·

Каерау Ели vs Инишир Албионс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина68%
Равен17%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Каерау ЕлиИнишир Албионс
Expected goals3.19Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
68% / 17% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Инишир Албионс win (14.4%)Двоен шанс1X85.6%1.17
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapИнишир Албионс winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каерау Ели win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Равен17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Инишир Албионс win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каерау Ели2.46

Домакин share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Инишир Албионс0.73

Гост share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Каерау Ели

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Инишир Албионс

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Каерау ЕлиИнишир Албионс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каерау Ели signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Инишир Албионс signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Каерау Ели vs Инишир Албионс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каерау Ели печеливш 68%,Равен 17%,Инишир Албионс печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над