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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Юг · Мач ·

Аберистуит vs Треоуен Старс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен21%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score2–2АберистуитТреоуен Старс
Expected goals3.47Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над67% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 21% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Треоуен Старс win (20.5%)Двоен шанс1X79.5%1.26
Над 67% · Под 33%Goals 2.5Над67%1.49
Да 67% · Не 33%И двата отбора да отбележатДа67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapТреоуен Старс winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аберистуит win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Равен21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Треоуен Старс win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аберистуит1.97

Домакин share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 67% · Под 33%

Треоуен Старс1.50

Гост share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Не 33%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аберистуит

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Треоуен Старс

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
АберистуитТреоуен Старс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аберистуит signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Треоуен Старс signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Аберистуит vs Треоуен Старс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аберистуит печеливш 59%,Равен 21%,Треоуен Старс печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Над 2.5 67% · Current selection Над