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WAL Wales - Championship South · Spiel ·

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score2–2AberystwythTreowen Stars
Expected goals3.47Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 21% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Doppelte Chance1X79.5%1.26
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nein 33%Beide Teams treffenJa67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.97

Heim share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

Treowen Stars1.50

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nein 33%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treowen Stars signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 21%,Treowen Stars Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über