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WAL Walia - Championship South · Mecz ·

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy59%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy59% selection probability
Projected score2–2AberystwythTreowen Stars
Expected goals3.47Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej67% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
59% / 21% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Podwójna szansa1X79.5%1.26
Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%Goals 2.5Powyżej67%1.49
Tak 67% · Nie 33%Obie drużyny strzeląTak67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Remis21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.97

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%

Treowen Stars1.50

Goście share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 67% · Nie 33%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treowen Stars signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth wygrana 59%,Remis 21%,Treowen Stars wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Powyżej 2.5 67% · Current selection Powyżej