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WAL Campeonato de Gales - Sur · Partido ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local68%
Empate17%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
68% / 17% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.6%1.17
Más de 62% · Menos de 38%Goals 2.5Más de62%1.61
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Empate17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Local share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 62% · Menos de 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Visitante share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely ganada 68%,Empate 17%,Ynyshir Albions ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Más de 2.5 62% · Current selection Más de