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WAL ウェールズ チャンピオンシップ南部 · 試合 ·

カイレエリー vs イニシール・アルビオンズ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利68%
引き分け17%
アウェイ勝利14%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利68% selection probability
Projected score2–1カイレエリーイニシール・アルビオンズ
Expected goals3.19始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
68% / 17% / 14%試合結果ホーム勝利68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes イニシール・アルビオンズ win (14.4%)ダブルチャンス1X85.6%1.17
オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%Goals 2.5オーバー62%1.61
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
3.19 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapイニシール・アルビオンズ winDifference-1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
カイレエリー win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
イニシール・アルビオンズ win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

カイレエリー2.46

ホーム share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%

イニシール・アルビオンズ0.73

アウェイ share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

カイレエリー

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

イニシール・アルビオンズ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
勝ち probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
カイレエリーイニシール・アルビオンズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01カイレエリー signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02イニシール・アルビオンズ signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

カイレエリー vs イニシール・アルビオンズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

カイレエリー 勝ち 68%,引き分け 17%,イニシール・アルビオンズ 勝ち 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · オーバー 2.5 62% · Current selection オーバー