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ENG Англия - Северная Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Аштон Юнайтед vs Ланкастер Сити

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Аштон ЮнайтедЛанкастер Сити
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 26% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapАштон Юнайтед winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аштон Юнайтед win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Ланкастер Сити win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аштон Юнайтед1.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Ланкастер Сити1.85

Гости share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аштон Юнайтед

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ланкастер Сити

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Аштон ЮнайтедЛанкастер Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аштон Юнайтед signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ланкастер Сити signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Аштон Юнайтед vs Ланкастер Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аштон Юнайтед выигрыш 40%,Ничья 26%,Ланкастер Сити выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше