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アシュトン・ユナイテッド vs ランカスターシティ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–2アシュトン・ユナイテッドランカスターシティ
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 26% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1274.3%1.35
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.92 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapアシュトン・ユナイテッド winDifference-1.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アシュトン・ユナイテッド win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
ランカスターシティ win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アシュトン・ユナイテッド1.07

ホーム share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

ランカスターシティ1.85

アウェイ share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アシュトン・ユナイテッド

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ランカスターシティ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
アシュトン・ユナイテッドランカスターシティ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アシュトン・ユナイテッド signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ランカスターシティ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

アシュトン・ユナイテッド vs ランカスターシティ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アシュトン・ユナイテッド 勝ち 40%,引き分け 26%,ランカスターシティ 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー