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ENG Anglia - Northern Premier League · Mecz ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości34%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 26% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Podwójna szansa1274.3%1.35
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Remis26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Lancaster City win34%2.942.7532.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Gospodarze share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Goście share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd wygrana 40%,Remis 26%,Lancaster City wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej