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ENG Inglaterra - Northern Premier League · Partida ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa35%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante39%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
35% / 26% / 39%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dupla Chance1274.3%1.35
Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%Goals 2.5Acima56%1.79
Sim 56% · Não 44%Ambas as equipes marcamSim56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win35%2.862.4536.8%-1.8 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Lancaster City win39%2.562.4037.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Mandante share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Visitante share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 56% · Não 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
39%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd ganhou 35%,Empate 26%,Lancaster City ganhou 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Acima 2.5 56% · Current selection Acima