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ITA Italia - Serie D - Cupa · Final ·

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 25% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASD Varesina win (23.6%)Șansă dublă1X76.4%1.31
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
2.43 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pro Patria win51%1.961.7352%
Egal25%4.003.6025%
ASD Varesina win24%4.173.9023.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pro Patria1.47

Gazde share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

ASD Varesina0.96

Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Pro Patria

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

ASD Varesina

2.00pts / match
Jucate3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.47
Expected goals
0.96
Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pro Patria signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASD Varesina signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pro Patria câștig 51%,Egal 25%,ASD Varesina câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub