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ITA Włochy - Serie D Cup · Final ·

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości24%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 25% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASD Varesina win (23.6%)Podwójna szansa1X76.4%1.31
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.43 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pro Patria win51%1.961.7352%
Remis25%4.003.6025%
ASD Varesina win24%4.173.9023.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pro Patria1.47

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

ASD Varesina0.96

Goście share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Pro Patria

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

ASD Varesina

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.47
Expected goals
0.96
Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pro Patria signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASD Varesina signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pro Patria wygrana 51%,Remis 25%,ASD Varesina wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej