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ITA Italien - Serie D Cup · Final ·

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg24%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 25% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASD Varesina win (23.6%)Doppelte Chance1X76.4%1.31
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.43 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pro Patria win51%1.961.7352%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
ASD Varesina win24%4.173.9023.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pro Patria1.47

Heim share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

ASD Varesina0.96

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Pro Patria

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

ASD Varesina

2.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.47
Expected goals
0.96
Pro PatriaASD Varesina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pro Patria signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASD Varesina signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pro Patria vs ASD Varesina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pro Patria Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 25%,ASD Varesina Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter