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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Meci ·

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.52 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde23%
Egal35%
Victorie oaspeți42%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Expected goals1.52Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub80% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
23% / 35% / 42%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava win (22.6%)Șansă dublăX277.4%1.29
Peste 20% · Sub 80%Goals 2.5Sub80%1.25
Da 26% · Nu 74%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu74%1.35
1.52 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
DFK Dainava win23%4.35
Egal35%2.86
FK Babrungas win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava0.52

Gazde share of expected goals 34.2%

Total expected goals1.52Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 20% · Sub 80%

FK Babrungas1.00

Oaspeți share of expected goals 65.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 26% · Nu 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Babrungas

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Câștig probability excluding draw
42%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
1.00
DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Babrungas signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava câștig 23%,Egal 35%,FK Babrungas câștig 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.52 · Peste 2.5 20% · Current selection Sub