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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Partido ·

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.52 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local23%
Empate35%
Victoria visitante42%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Expected goals1.52Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de80% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
23% / 35% / 42%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava win (22.6%)Doble OportunidadX277.4%1.29
Más de 20% · Menos de 80%Goals 2.5Menos de80%1.25
Sí 26% · No 74%Ambos equipos marcanNo74%1.35
1.52 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
DFK Dainava win23%4.35
Empate35%2.86
FK Babrungas win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava0.52

Local share of expected goals 34.2%

Total expected goals1.52Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 20% · Menos de 80%

FK Babrungas1.00

Visitante share of expected goals 65.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Babrungas

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Ganado probability excluding draw
42%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
1.00
DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Babrungas signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava ganada 23%,Empate 35%,FK Babrungas ganada 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.52 · Más de 2.5 20% · Current selection Menos de