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LTU 立陶宛1 Lyga · 比賽 ·

DFK戴納瓦 vs 巴比伦加斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.52 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝23%
35%
客勝42%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DFK戴納瓦巴比伦加斯
Expected goals1.52Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.580% for the selected side
雙方進球74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
23% / 35% / 42%比賽結果客勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK戴納瓦 win (22.6%)雙重機會X277.4%1.29
大 20% · 小 80%Goals 2.580%1.25
是 26% · 否 74%雙方進球74%1.35
1.52 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
DFK戴納瓦 win23%4.35
35%2.86
巴比伦加斯 win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK戴納瓦0.52

主隊 share of expected goals 34.2%

Total expected goals1.52Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 20% · 80%

巴比伦加斯1.00

客隊 share of expected goals 65.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 26% · 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

DFK戴納瓦

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

巴比伦加斯

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
贏 probability excluding draw
42%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
1.00
DFK戴納瓦巴比伦加斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK戴納瓦 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02巴比伦加斯 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

DFK戴納瓦 vs 巴比伦加斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK戴納瓦 23%, 35%,巴比伦加斯 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.52 · 大2.5 20% · Current selection