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CHN China Division 2 · Partida ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score0–11.86 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa20%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante51%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
20% / 29% / 51%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (20.3%)Dupla ChanceX279.7%1.25
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 27% · Não 73%Ambas as equipes marcamNão73%1.37
1.86 total expected goalsPlacar exato0–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapChangchun Xidu winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Changchun Xidu win20%5.004.2021.3%-1.3 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win51%1.961.8049.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.44

Mandante share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.42

Visitante share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitSim 27% · Não 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.42
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu ganhou 20%,Empate 29%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ganhou 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo