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CHN China Division 2 · Zápas ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score0–11.86 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích20%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů51%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně71% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
20% / 29% / 51%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (20.3%)Dvojitá šanceX279.7%1.25
Více 29% · Méně 71%Goals 2.5Méně71%1.41
Ano 27% · Ne 73%Oba týmy skórujíNe73%1.37
1.86 total expected goalsPřesné skóre0–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapChangchun Xidu winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Changchun Xidu win20%5.004.2021.3%-1.3 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win51%1.961.8049.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.44

Domácí share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 29% · Méně 71%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.42

Hosté share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitAno 27% · Ne 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Výhra probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.42
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu výhra 20%,Remíza 29%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai výhra 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Více 2.5 29% · Current selection Méně