Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 29% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (20.3%)Double chanceX279.7%1.25
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 27% · No 73%Both teams scoreNo73%1.37
1.86 total expected goalsCorrect score0–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapChangchun Xidu winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Changchun Xidu win20%5.004.2021.3%-1.3 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win51%1.961.8049.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 23.7%
Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%
Away share of expected goals 76.3%
Projected score0–1BTTS splitYes 27% · No 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchChangchun Xidu
LDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchShanxi Chongde Ronghai
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
20%
Win probability excluding draw
51%5
Points from supplied form
150.44
Expected goals
1.42Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Changchun Xidu win 20%，Draw 29%，Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win 51%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.86 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under。