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長春喜都 vs 山西崇徳栄海

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score0–11.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利20%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利51%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利51% selection probability
Projected score0–1長春喜都山西崇徳栄海
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
20% / 29% / 51%試合結果アウェイ勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 長春喜都 win (20.3%)ダブルチャンスX279.7%1.25
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 27% · いいえ 73%両チーム得点いいえ73%1.37
1.86 total expected goals正確なスコア0–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gap長春喜都 winDifference-1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
長春喜都 win20%5.004.2021.3%-1.3 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
山西崇徳栄海 win51%1.961.8049.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

長春喜都0.44

ホーム share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

山西崇徳栄海1.42

アウェイ share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitはい 27% · いいえ 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

長春喜都

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

山西崇徳栄海

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
勝ち probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.42
長春喜都山西崇徳栄海
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01長春喜都 signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02山西崇徳栄海 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

長春喜都 vs 山西崇徳栄海 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

長春喜都 勝ち 20%,引き分け 29%,山西崇徳栄海 勝ち 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー