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CHN China Division 2 · Мач ·

Чангчун Ксиду vs Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score0–11.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина20%
Равен29%
Победа за госта51%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Чангчун КсидуШанкси Чонгде Ронгхай
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
20% / 29% / 51%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Чангчун Ксиду win (20.3%)Двоен шансX279.7%1.25
Над 29% · Под 71%Goals 2.5Под71%1.41
Да 27% · Не 73%И двата отбора да отбележатНе73%1.37
1.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат0–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapЧангчун Ксиду winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Чангчун Ксиду win20%5.004.2021.3%-1.3 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай win51%1.961.8049.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Чангчун Ксиду0.44

Домакин share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 29% · Под 71%

Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай1.42

Гост share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 27% · Не 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Чангчун Ксиду

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.42
Чангчун КсидуШанкси Чонгде Ронгхай
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Чангчун Ксиду signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Чангчун Ксиду vs Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Чангчун Ксиду печеливш 20%,Равен 29%,Шанкси Чонгде Ронгхай печеливш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Над 2.5 29% · Current selection Под