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PAN Panamá - LPF · Partida ·

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC (Panamá)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa17%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante58%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC (Panamá)
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
17% / 25% / 58%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting San Miguelito win (16.6%)Dupla ChanceX283.4%1.20
Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%Goals 2.5Abaixo64%1.56
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAlianza FC (Panamá) winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting San Miguelito win17%5.885.7515.6%+1.4 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza FC (Panamá) win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting San Miguelito1.02

Mandante share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%

Alianza FC (Panamá)1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sporting San Miguelito

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza FC (Panamá)

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
58%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.12
Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC (Panamá)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting San Miguelito signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza FC (Panamá) signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC (Panamá) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting San Miguelito ganhou 17%,Empate 25%,Alianza FC (Panamá) ganhou 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Acima 2.5 36% · Current selection Abaixo