Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 25% / 58%Match resultAway win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting San Miguelito win (16.6%)Double chanceX283.4%1.20
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAlianza FC Panama winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting San Miguelito win17%5.885.7515.6%+1.4 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza FC Panama win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 47.7%
Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%
Away share of expected goals 52.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSporting San Miguelito
LDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAlianza FC Panama
WDDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
17%
Win probability excluding draw
58%4
Points from supplied form
71.02
Expected goals
1.12Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC Panama
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting San Miguelito win 17%，Draw 25%，Alianza FC Panama win 58%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under。