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PAN Panama - LPF · Kamp ·

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr17%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr58%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC Panama
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
17% / 25% / 58%KampresultatUdesejr58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting San Miguelito win (16.6%)DobbeltchanceX283.4%1.20
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Begge hold scorerNej56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAlianza FC Panama winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting San Miguelito win17%5.885.7515.6%+1.4 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza FC Panama win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting San Miguelito1.02

Hjemme share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Alianza FC Panama1.12

Ude share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sporting San Miguelito

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Alianza FC Panama

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Point7

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vundet probability excluding draw
58%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.12
Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC Panama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting San Miguelito signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza FC Panama signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting San Miguelito vundet 17%,Uafgjort 25%,Alianza FC Panama vundet 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under