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PAN Panama - LPF · Partita ·

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa17%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite58%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC Panama
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
17% / 25% / 58%Esito partitaVittoria ospite58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting San Miguelito win (16.6%)Doppia ChanceX283.4%1.20
Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%Goals 2.5Sotto64%1.56
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAlianza FC Panama winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting San Miguelito win17%5.885.7515.6%+1.4 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza FC Panama win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting San Miguelito1.02

Casa share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%

Alianza FC Panama1.12

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sporting San Miguelito

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alianza FC Panama

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punti7

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vinta probability excluding draw
58%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.12
Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC Panama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting San Miguelito signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza FC Panama signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting San Miguelito vinta 17%,Pareggio 25%,Alianza FC Panama vinta 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Sopra 2.5 36% · Current selection Sotto