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AUS Austrália - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa61%
Empate20%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
61% / 20% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong FC win (19%)Dupla Chance1X81%1.23
Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%Goals 2.5Acima60%1.67
Sim 42% · Não 58%Ambas as equipes marcamNão58%1.72
3.10 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSt George Willawong FC winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win61%1.641.5059.5%+1.5 pp
Empate20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
St George Willawong FC win19%5.264.3320.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Mandante share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Visitante share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 42% · Não 58%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalMandante won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning ganhou 61%,Empate 20%,St George Willawong FC ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Acima 2.5 60% · Current selection Acima