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AUS Ausztrália - Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem61%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem19%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
61% / 20% / 19%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong FC win (19%)Dupla esély1X81%1.23
Felett 60% · Alatt 40%Goals 2.5Felett60%1.67
Igen 42% · Nem 58%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58%1.72
3.10 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSt George Willawong FC winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win61%1.641.5059.5%+1.5 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
St George Willawong FC win19%5.264.3320.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Hazai share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 60% · Alatt 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Vendég share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 42% · Nem 58%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Nyert probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalHazai won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning nyer 61%,Döntetlen 20%,St George Willawong FC nyer 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · 2.5 felett 60% · Current selection Felett