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AUS Australia - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy61%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości19%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
61% / 20% / 19%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong FC win (19%)Podwójna szansa1X81%1.23
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
3.10 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSt George Willawong FC winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win61%1.641.5059.5%+1.5 pp
Remis20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
St George Willawong FC win19%5.264.3320.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Gospodarze share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Goście share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalGospodarze won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning wygrana 61%,Remis 20%,St George Willawong FC wygrana 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej