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ITA Itália - Serie A · Final ·

Roma vs Fiorentina

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score4–0Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1RomaFiorentina
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 25% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Dupla Chance1X81.4%1.23
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Roma win56%1.791.7055.8%+0.2 pp
Empate25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp
Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Roma1.76

Mandante share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Fiorentina0.74

Visitante share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Roma

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.76
Expected goals
0.74
RomaFiorentina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Roma signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fiorentina signalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Roma vs Fiorentina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Roma ganhou 56%,Empate 25%,Fiorentina ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo