What is the AS Rome vs Fiorentina prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 56%.

What are the AS Rome vs Fiorentina 1X2 probabilities?

AS Rome win 56%, draw 25%, and Fiorentina win 19%.

How many goals are expected in AS Rome vs Fiorentina?

The displayed projection is 2.50 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 46%.

MatchFormula Trouver un match

UTC+8

ITA Italie - Série A · Final · mar. 25 août, 02:45

AS Rome vs Fiorentina

Prediction review

Domicile form

Final score4–0Pronostic 2–1

Extérieur form

Victoire à domicile56%

Nul25%

Victoire à l’extérieur19%

Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability

Prediction Gagné25 août 2026, 05:19

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability

Projected score2–1AS Rome — Fiorentina

Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side

Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side

Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste

56% / 25% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Double chance1X81.4%1.23

Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85

Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79

2.50 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——

8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp

OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

AS Rome win56%1.791.7055.8%+0.2 pp

Nul25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp

Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AS Rome1.76

Domicile share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Fiorentina0.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AS Rome

3.00pts / match

Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.60pts / match

Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

56%

Gagné probability excluding draw

19%

Points from supplied form

1.76

Expected goals

0.74

AS RomeFiorentina

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AS Rome signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fiorentina signalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions