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ITA Italy Serie A · Final ·

Roma vs Fiorentina

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score4–0Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır56%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score2–1RomaFiorentina
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
56% / 25% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Çifte Şans1X81.4%1.23
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 44% · Hayır 56%Karşılıklı gol varHayır56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Roma win56%1.791.7055.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp
Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Roma1.76

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Fiorentina0.74

Deplasman share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 44% · Hayır 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Roma

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.76
Expected goals
0.74
RomaFiorentina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Roma signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fiorentina signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Roma vs Fiorentina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Roma kazanç 56%,Beraberlik 25%,Fiorentina kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt