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ITA Италия - Серия A · Final ·

Рома vs Фиорентина

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score4–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен25%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1РомаФиорентина
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 25% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фиорентина win (18.6%)Двоен шанс1X81.4%1.23
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Рома win56%1.791.7055.8%+0.2 pp
Равен25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp
Фиорентина win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Рома1.76

Домакин share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Фиорентина0.74

Гост share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Рома

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фиорентина

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.76
Expected goals
0.74
РомаФиорентина
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Рома signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фиорентина signalДомакин clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Рома vs Фиорентина FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Рома печеливш 56%,Равен 25%,Фиорентина печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под