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BEL Belgia - First Division A · Final ·

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości19%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CharleroiKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 25% / 19%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Podwójna szansa1X81.1%1.23
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Remis25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

KV Mechelen1.06

Goście share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.06
CharleroiKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalGoście failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi wygrana 56%,Remis 25%,KV Mechelen wygrana 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej